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Teh Poverty Of HistoricismPDF|Epub|txt|kindle电子书版本网盘下载
- 著
- 出版社： Routledge & Kegan Paul
- ISBN：0710019653
- 出版时间：1961
- 标注页数：166页
- 文件大小：42MB
- 文件页数：176页
- 主题词：
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图书目录
INTRODUCTION1
Ⅰ THE ANTI-NATURALISTIC DOCTRINES OF HISTORICISM5
1 Generalization6
2 Experiment8
3 Novelty9
4 Complexity12
5 Inexactitude of Prediction12
6 Objectivity and Valuation14
7 Holism17
8 Intuitive Understanding19
9 Quantitative Methods24
10 Essentialism versus Nominalism26
Ⅱ THE PRO-NATURALISTIC DOCTRINES OF HISTORICISM35
11 Comparison with Astronomy．Long-Term Forecasts and Large-Scale Forecasts36
12 The Observational Basis38
13 Social Dynamics39
14 Historical Laws41
15 Historical Prophecy versus Social Engineering43
16 The Theory of Historical Development45
17 Interpreting versus Planning Social Change49
18 Conclusion of the Analysis52
Ⅲ CRITICISM OF THE ANTINATURALISTIC DOCTRINES55
19 Practical Aims of this Criticism55
20 The Technological Approach to Sociology58
21 Piecemeal versus Utopian Engineering64
22 The Unholy Alliance with Utopianism71
23 Criticism of Holism76
24 The Holistic Theory of Social Experiments83
25 The Variability of Experimental Conditions93
26 Are Generalizations Confined to Periods？97
Ⅳ CRITICISM OF THE PRONATURALISTIC DOCTRINES105
27 Is there a Law of Evolution？Lawn and Trends105
28 The Method of Reduction．Causal Explanation．Prediction and Prophecy120
29 The Unity of Method130
30 Theoretical and Historical Sciences143
31 Situational Logic in History．Historical Interpretation147
32 The Institutional Theory of Progress152
33 Conclusion159
INDEX162